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Bibliography to top 10 projects

This is a list of the papers that came out of the top 10 projects

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The theory of intermittent inspections, 1978

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The ACS cancer screening guidelines, 1980

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BCBSA TEC program

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The Council on Medical Specialty Society guidelines project

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The WHO work and model for cancer control priorities, 1986

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The NCI model for setting US's "Cancer Control Objectives for the Year 2000", 1986

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The Confidence Profile Method

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Kaiser Permanente guidelines and technology assessment

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The JAMA series

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NCQA and performance measurement

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The Archimedes model

A mathematical theory of intermittent inspections, 1978    
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Eddy DM. "A Methodology for Evaluating Breast Cancer Screening Programs" in the Proceedings of the International Conference on Cybernetics and Society, November, 1976

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Eddy DM. Screening for Cancer: Theory, Analysis and Design.  Englewood Cliffs NJ, Prentice-Hall, Inc 1980 (book)

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A paper in the mathematical journal Operations Research, which I can't find.

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Eddy DM. "A Mathematical Model for Timing of Repeated Medical Tests." Medical Decision Making 1983; 3:45-62. (Reprinted in Scandinavian Journal of Clinical and Laboratory Investigation, Supplement 171, 1984.)    (to top)

American Cancer Society guidelines, 1980

The original paper was

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Eddy DM. "Guidelines for the Cancer-Related Checkup. Recommendations and Rationale." Ca-A Cancer Journal for Clinicians 1980; 30:193-240.

At least 20 other publications are related to this work. Some of the highlights (in reverse order) are   (to top)

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Eddy DM. “The Seven Best Tests. David Eddy Ranks the Tests.” Harvard Health Letter Special Supplement 1992; 17:10-11

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Eddy DM. "Screening for Breast Cancer." Annals of Internal Medicine 1989; 111:389-399     Reprinted in Common Screening Tests, DM Eddy (Ed) Philadelphia, American College of Physicians, 1991. Reprinted in Selected Readings in General Surgery 1990

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Eddy DM. "Screening for Lung Cancer." Annals of Internal Medicine 1989; 111:232-237. Reprinted in Common Screening Tests, DM Eddy (Ed) Philadelphia, American College of Physicians, 1991

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Eddy DM, Hasselblad V, McGivney W, Hendee W. "The Value of Mammography Screening in Women under Age 50." Journal of the American Medical Association 1988; 259:1512-1519

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Eddy DM, Nugent FW, Eddy JF, Coller J. Gilbertsen V, Gottlieb LS, Rice R, Sherlock P. Winawer S. "Screening for Colorectal Cancer in a High-risk Population: Results of a Mathematical Model. "Gastroenterology. 1987 March; 92(3):682-92.

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Eddy DM. "Technology Assessment: The Role of Mathematical Modeling." Section in Assessing Medical Technologies, Institute of Medicine, Washington DC, National Academy Press, 1985

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Eddy DM. "Finding Cancer in Asymptomatic People." Cancer 1983; 51:2440-2445. Biases. New York, Cambridge University Press, 1982

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Eddy DM, Shwartz M. "The Application of Mathematical Models in Screening." Chapter in    D Schottenfeld, J Fraumeni (Eds) Cancer Epidemiology  and Prevention. WB Saunders Company, 1982

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McNeil B, Eddy DM. "The Costs and Effects of Screening for Cancer Among Asbestos-Exposed Workers." Journal of Chronic Diseases 1982; 35:351-385

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Eddy DM. "The Economics of Cancer Prevention and Detection: Getting More for Less. "Cancer. 1981 Mar 1;47(5 Suppl):1200-9.

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Eddy DM. "Detection of Lung Cancer." JAMA.1981 Aug 7;246 (6):621-2

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Eddy DM. "Appropriateness of Cervical Cancer Screening." Gynecologic Oncology 1981 Oct 12: S168-S187

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Eddy DM. "The Economics of Cancer Prevention and Detection." Cancer 1981; 47:1200-1209

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Eddy DM. "Evaluation of a Screening Program in Oncology." Bulletin Cancer (Paris) 1980; 67:515-523

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Eddy DM. "Computer Models and the Evaluation of Colon Cancer Screening Programs." Chapter in S Winawer, D Schottenfeld and P Sherlock (Eds) Colorectal Cancer: Prevention, Epidemiology  and Screening. New York, Raven Press, 1980

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   (to top)

The BCBSA TEC program and criteria

None

The Council on Medical Specialty Society guidelines project
bullet Eddy DM. A Manual for Assessing Health Practices and Designing Practice Policies. Philadelphia, American College of Physicians, 1992 (book)
The WHO work and model: cancer control priorities in developing countries, 1985-1986
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Stjernswärd J, Stanley K, Eddy DM, et al. "Cancer Control: Strategies and Priorities." World Health Forum 1985; 6:160-164

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Eddy DM. "Setting Priorities for Cancer Control Programs." Journal of the National Cancer Institute 1986; 76:187-199

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Eddy DM. "The Use of Quantitative Methods in Planning National Cancer Control Programs." Bulletin of the World Health Organization 1986, 64:683-693

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Stjernswärd J, Stanley K, Eddy DM, et al. " National Cancer Control Programs and Setting Priorities." Cancer Detection and Prevention 1986; 9:113-124

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Eddy DM. "Secondary Prevention of Cancer: An Overview."  Bulletin of the World Health Organization 1986; 64:421-429

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(to top)

National Cancer Institute: Cancer control objectives for the year 2000, 1986
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Eddy DM. "A Computer-Based Model for the Design of Cancer Control Strategies." National Cancer Institute Monographs 1986; 2:75-82

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Eddy DM. "CAN*TROL: A Computer Model for Designing National Cancer Control Strategies.."Bull Cancer. 1987;74(3):323-32

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Levin DL, Gail MH, Kessler LG, Eddy DM. "A Model for Projecting Cancer Incidence and Mortality in the Presence of Prevention, Screening, and Treatment Programs." National Cancer Institute Monographs 1986; 2:83-93    (to top)

The Confidence Profile Method
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Eddy DM, Hasselblad V, Shachter R. The Statistical Synthesis of Evidence: Meta-Analysis by the Confidence Profile Method. Boston, Academic Press, 1992 (book)

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Eddy DM, Hasselblad V. FAST*PRO: Software for Meta-Analysis by the Confidence Profile Method. Boston, Academic Press, 1992

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Shachter R, Eddy DM, Hasselblad V. "An Influence Diagram Approach to Medical Technology Assessment" in RM Oliver, JQ Smith (Eds) Influence Diagrams, Belief Nets and Decision Analysis, London, JH Wiley, 1990

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Eddy DM, Hasselblad V, Shachter R. "An Introduction to a Bayesian Method for Meta-Analysis: The Confidence Profile Method." Medical Decision Making 1990; 10:15-23    Reprinted in Modern Methods of Clinical Investigation, AC Gelijns (Ed) Volume 1, Medical Innovation at the Crossroads, Washington DC, National Academy Press, 1990

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Adar R, Critchfield GC, Eddy DM. "A Confidence Profile Analysis of the Results of Femoropopliteal Percutaneous Transluminal Angioplasty in the Treatment of Lower-Extremity Ischemia." Journal of Vascular Surgery 1989; 10:57-67

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Eddy DM. "The Confidence Profile Method: A Bayesian Method for Assessing Health Technologies." Operations Research 1989; 37:210-228

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Hasselblad V, Kotchmar DJ, Eddy DM. "Synthesis of Environmental Evidence: Nitrogen Dioxide Epidemiology Studies." Journal of the Air and Waste Management Association 1992; 42:662-671.    (to top)

Kaiser Permanente guidelines and technology assessment

 Many of the ideas that worked their way into my series of essays for JAMA, and virtually all of the motivation and design criteria for the Archimedes modeling project came from this work. 

JAMA essays
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Eddy DM. “Investigational Treatments. How Strict Should We Be?” Journal of the American Medical Association 1997; 278: 179-185

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Eddy DM. “Benefit Language. Criteria That Will Improve Quality While Reducing Costs.” Journal of the American Medical Association 1996; 275: 650-657

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Eddy DM. “Rationing Resources While Improving Quality: How to Get More for Less.” Journal of the American Medical Association 1994; 272: 817-328

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Eddy DM. “Health System Reform. Will Controlling Costs Require Rationing Services?” Journal of the American Medical Association 1994; 272 324-328

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Eddy DM. “A Conversation With My Mother.” Journal of the American Medical Association 1994; 272:179-181.
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Reprinted in Washington Post, 1994. 

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Reprinted in  “A Piece of My Mind”, Roxanne K. Young Ed. JAMA Press, 2000

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Eddy DM. “Principles for Making Difficult Decisions in Difficult Times.” Journal of the American Medical Association 1994; 271:1792-1798

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Eddy DM. “Three Battles to Watch in the 1990s.” Journal of the American Medical Association 1993; 270:520-526
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Reprinted in Medicine—The Year in Review 1992 Medical News and Events, A Medical Tribune/Mosby Year Book Publication, 1993

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Eddy DM. “Broadening the Responsibilities of Practitioners.  The Team Approach.”  Journal of the American Medical Association 1993; 269:1849-1855

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Eddy DM. “Applying Cost-Effectiveness Analysis: The Inside Story.” Journal of the American Medical Association 1992; 268:2575-2582

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Eddy DM. "Cost-Effectiveness Analysis: Will It Be Accepted?" Journal of the American Medical Association 1992; 268:132-136

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Eddy DM. "Cost-Effectiveness Analysis: Is It Up to the Task?" Journal of the American Medical Association 1992; 267:3342-3348

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Eddy DM. "Cost-Effectiveness Analysis: A Conversation with my Father." Journal of the American Medical Association 1992; 267:1669-1672, 1674-1675

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Eddy DM. "Oregon's Plan—Should It Be Approved?" Journal of the American Medical Association 1991; 266:2439-2441, 2443-2445

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Eddy DM. "Oregon's Methods—Did Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Fail?" Journal of the American Medical Association 1991; 266:2135-2138, 2140-2141

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Eddy DM. "What's Going on in Oregon?" Journal of the American Medical Association 1991; 266:417-420

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Eddy DM. "The Individual vs Society. Resolving the Conflict." Journal of the American Medical Association 1991; 265:2399-2401, 2405-2405

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Eddy DM. "The Individual vs Society:  Is There a Conflict?" Journal of the American Medical Association 1991; 265:1446, 1449-1450

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Eddy DM. "What Care is 'Essential'?  What Services are 'Basic'?" Journal of the American Medical Association 1991; 265:782, 786-788

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Eddy DM. "Rationing by Patient Choice." Journal of the American Medical Association 1991; 265:105-108

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Eddy DM. "Connecting Value and Cost: Whom Do We Ask and What Do We Ask Them?" Journal of the American Medical Association 1990; 264:1737-1739

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Eddy DM. "What Do We Do About Costs?" Journal of the American Medical Association 1990; 264:1161, 1165, 1169-1170

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Eddy DM. "Resolving Conflicts in Practice Policies." Journal of the American Medical Association 1990; 264:389-391

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Eddy DM. "Designing a Practice Policy. Standards, Guidelines, and Options" Journal of the American Medical Association 1990; 263:3077-3084

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Eddy DM. "Comparing Benefits and Harms: The Balance Sheet" Journal of the American Medical Association 1990; 263:2493-2505

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Eddy DM. "Guidelines for Policy Statements" Journal of the American Medical Association 1990; 263:2239-2243

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Eddy DM. "Practice Policies: Guidelines for Methods" Journal of the American Medical Association 1990; 263:1839-1841

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Eddy DM. "Practice Policies: Where Do They Come From?" Journal of the American Medical Association 1990; 263:1265, 1269, 1272, 1275

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Eddy DM. "Practice Policies—What Are They?" Journal of the American Medical Association 1990; 263:877, 878, 880

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Eddy DM. "Anatomy of a Decision." Journal of the American Medical Association 1990; 263:441-443

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Eddy DM. "The Challenge." Journal of the American Medical Association 1990; 263:287-290    (to top)

NCQA and performance measurement
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Eddy DM. “Performance Measurement: Problems and Solutions.” Health Affairs, July/August, 1998

Archimedes
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See the Archimedes website, http://archimedesmodel.com    (to top)

 

Biography • Top 10 papers • Top 10 projects • Top disappointments • Markov models

 

 

David M. Eddy © 2003
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Email:  david.eddy@archimedesmodel.com